Tunisia expects 2.7% growth in 2026
The government forecasts economic expansion despite a widening current account deficit due to energy costs.
Tunisia's economy is projected to grow by 2.7% in 2026, according to Prime Minister Sarra Zaâfrani Zenzri. This forecast, presented to parliament, follows a 2.4% GDP growth in the first half of 2026, indicating a continued economic recovery.
Despite signs of recovery, external imbalances persist, with the current account deficit expected to reach 3.9% of GDP in 2026, up from 2.5% in 2025. This widening deficit is attributed to trade pressures and increased energy imports. Foreign exchange reserves currently cover 93 days of imports.
The government also reported a decrease in the unemployment rate to 14.9% in the second quarter and a slight drop in inflation to 5.3% by September. Tourist revenue rose by 4.5% to nearly 6.3 billion dinars by September 30, while remittances from Tunisians abroad increased by 5%.
Why it mattersTunisians will experience economic growth and a slight decrease in unemployment, but face persistent external financial pressures.